The School of Odds

New York Atlas v Philadelphia Waterdogs

2026-07-24 02:30 UTC — PLL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Atlas (Local)

Prediction 46.34%2.16fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%46.34%46.34%46.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.052.052.0549%49%49%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Waterdogs (Visit)

Prediction 53.66%1.86fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -6.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%53.66%53.66%53.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.771.771.771.7756%56%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:15
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:15
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.01%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.