Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Atlas v Denver Outlaws

2026-08-08 17:05 UTC — PLL

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

44%

56%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Atlas (Local)

Prediction 43.67%2.29fair odd

EV -4.80%

Edge -2.20%

Kelly -4.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.67%43.67%43.67%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.182.182.182.1845.87%45.87%45.87%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Outlaws (Visit)

Prediction 56.33%1.78fair odd

EV -4.80%

Edge -2.84%

Kelly -6.96%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.33%56.33%56.33%56.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.691.691.691.6959.17%59.17%59.17%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Atlas (Local): 43.67%; Denver Outlaws (Visit): 56.33%. For Denver Outlaws (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.69, with an expected value of -4.80%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-02 23:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.