Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Whipsnakes v Utah Archers

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 21:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland Whipsnakes (Local)

Prediction 55.35%1.81fair odd
EV -0.363%
Edge -0.202%
Kelly -0.454%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%55.14%55.76%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.711.701.8059.17%58.33%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Archers (Visit)

Prediction 44.65%2.24fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%44.86%44.24%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.152.1648.78%47.15%46.51%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland Whipsnakes (Local): 55.35%; Utah Archers (Visit): 44.65%. For Maryland Whipsnakes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -0.363%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.363%E -0.202%K -0.454%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.48%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 01:40
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.13%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.24%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 03:41
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.56%E -1.65%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 00:28
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 12:50
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 12:50
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 12:49
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.90%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 55.67%1.67I 59.88%NM 44.33%35.1%2026-05-30 21:30