The School of Odds

East v West

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

East (Local)

Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -4.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%48.91%48.95%48.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.941.951.951.9552%51%51%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

West (Visit)

Prediction 51.09%1.96fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%51.09%51.05%51.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.851.861.851.8754%54%54%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.63%E -2.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.45%E -2.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-02 10:29
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.63%E -2.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.45%E -2.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-02 20:10
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.63%E -2.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-02 10:29
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.12%E -2.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-02 10:30
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.12%E -2.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.48%E -2.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-02 10:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.