East v West

2026-07-05 18:00 — PLL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: East (Local)

Odds

1.9451.55%Min

1.9551.39%Mean

1.9551.28%Median

1.9551.28%Max

Consensus probabilities

48.68%2.054Min

48.95%2.043Max

48.91%2.045Mean

48.95%2.043Median

48.91%2.045IQM

48.91%2.045Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.95 under the IQM model: 48.91%

EV -4.63%Edge -2.38%Kelly -4.88%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: West (Visit)

Odds

1.8554.05%Min

1.8653.82%Mean

1.8554.05%Median

1.8753.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

51.05%1.959Min

51.32%1.949Max

51.09%1.957Mean

51.05%1.959Median

51.09%1.957IQM

51.09%1.957Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.87 under the IQM model: 51.09%

EV -4.45%Edge -2.38%Kelly -5.12%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	East (Local) ▼	West (Visit)	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.63% E -2.38% K -4.88% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.45% E -2.38% K -5.12% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-02 10:29
BetMGM	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.63% E -2.38% K -4.88% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.45% E -2.38% K -5.12% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-02 20:10
Unibet	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -4.63% E -2.38% K -4.88% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -5.48% E -2.96% K -6.44% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-02 10:29
BetRivers	1.94I 51.55% NM 48.81%EV -5.12% E -2.64% K -5.45% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.19%EV -5.48% E -2.96% K -6.44% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-02 10:30
Bally Bet	1.94I 51.55% NM 48.81%EV -5.12% E -2.64% K -5.45% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.19%EV -5.48% E -2.96% K -6.44% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-02 10:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth