The School of Odds

Carolina Chaos v Maryland Whipsnakes

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Carolina Chaos (Local)

Prediction 47.10%2.12fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.09%46.95%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.012.002.0550%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Maryland Whipsnakes (Visit)

Prediction 52.90%1.89fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%52.91%53.05%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.771.791.801.8156%56%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 19:49
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.87%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.24%E -2.34%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 16:59
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 21:39
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 17:40
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 17:40
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 17:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 11:15
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 22:41
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 23:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.