The School of Odds

California Redwoods v Philadelphia Waterdogs

2026-07-10 22:30 — PLL

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: California Redwoods (Local)

Odds
1.8753.48%Min
1.9052.71%Mean
1.9052.63%Median
1.9152.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
49.47%2.021Min
50.00%2.000Max
49.89%2.004Mean
50.00%2.000Median
50.00%2.000IQM
49.90%2.004Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.91 under the IQM model: 50.00%

EV -4.50%Edge -2.36%Kelly -4.95%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Philadelphia Waterdogs (Visit)

Odds
1.8753.48%Min
1.8952.87%Mean
1.8952.91%Median
1.9152.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.00%2.000Min
50.53%1.979Max
50.11%1.996Mean
50.00%2.000Median
50.00%2.000IQM
50.10%1.996Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.91 under the IQM model: 50.00%

EV -4.50%Edge -2.36%Kelly -4.95%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCalifornia Redwoods (Local) ▼Philadelphia Waterdogs (Visit)MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 19:49
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36% NM 49.47%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.53%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 21:19
Unibet1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.00% E -2.63% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.00% E -2.63% K -5.56% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
BetRivers1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -5.50% E -2.91% K -6.18% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -5.50% E -2.91% K -6.18% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 17:40
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -5.50% E -2.91% K -6.18% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 50.00%EV -5.50% E -2.91% K -6.18% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 17:40
DraftKings1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerCalifornia Redwoods (Local)Philadelphia Waterdogs (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%1.82I 54.95%9.9%2026-07-03 17:25