The School of Odds

California Redwoods v New York Atlas

2026-08-02 19:05 UTC — PLL

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

California Redwoods (Local)

Prediction 54.17%1.85fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -6.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.17%54.17%54.17%54.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.761.761.7656.82%56.82%56.82%56.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Atlas (Visit)

Prediction 45.83%2.18fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.83%45.83%45.83%45.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.082.082.082.0848.08%48.08%48.08%48.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.67%E -2.65%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.67%E -2.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 22:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-27 22:20