The School of Odds

Boston Cannons v New York Atlas

2026-07-19 19:00 UTC — PLL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Boston Cannons (Local)

Prediction 47.97%2.08fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -4.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.97%48.03%48.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.911.961.982.0052%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Atlas (Visit)

Prediction 52.03%1.92fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -5.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.03%51.97%53.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.771.811.831.8356%55%55%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-15 20:54
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.02%E -2.53%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 19:48
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.38%E -4.39%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%7.9%2026-07-15 19:49