Boston Cannons v Denver Outlaws

2026-07-11 18:00 — PLL

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Boston Cannons (Local)

Odds

2.2444.64%Min

2.2544.36%Mean

2.2544.44%Median

2.3043.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

41.77%2.394Min

42.56%2.349Max

42.15%2.372Mean

42.16%2.372Median

42.15%2.373IQM

42.15%2.373Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.30 under the IQM model: 42.15%

EV -3.07%Edge -1.33%Kelly -2.36%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Denver Outlaws (Visit)

Odds

1.6261.73%Min

1.6460.87%Mean

1.6460.98%Median

1.6660.24%Max

Consensus probabilities

57.44%1.741Min

58.23%1.717Max

57.85%1.729Mean

57.84%1.729Median

57.85%1.728IQM

57.85%1.729Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.66 under the IQM model: 57.85%

EV -3.96%Edge -2.39%Kelly -6.00%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Boston Cannons (Local) ▼	Denver Outlaws (Visit)	Margin	Updated
BetMGM	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.07% E -1.33% K -2.36% G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.54% E -2.75% K -6.98% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-01 19:49
theScore Bet	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.17% E -2.30% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.54% E -2.75% K -6.98% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 21:30
BetRivers	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -5.17% E -2.30% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -5.12% E -3.12% K -8.00% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-01 17:40
Unibet	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -5.17% E -2.30% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -5.12% E -3.12% K -8.00% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-01 17:40
Bally Bet	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -5.17% E -2.30% K -4.14% G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -5.12% E -3.12% K -8.00% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-01 17:40
FanDuel	2.24I 44.64% NM 42.56%EV -5.59% E -2.50% K -4.51% G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24% NM 57.44%EV -3.96% E -2.39% K -6.00% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-30 16:59
DraftKings	2.24I 44.64% NM 41.97%EV -5.59% E -2.50% K -4.51% G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.03%EV -6.28% E -3.87% K -10.12% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-30 23:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Boston Cannons (Local)	Denver Outlaws (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	2.13I 46.95%	1.56I 64.10%	11.1%	2026-07-03 17:25