The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yale Bulldogs v Pennsylvania Quakers

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yale Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 43.53%2.30fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.97%43.53%44.04%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.152.132.2447.62%46.51%46.95%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit)

Prediction 56.47%1.77fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%56.47%55.96%58.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.651.661.7062.89%60.61%60.42%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yale Bulldogs (Local): 43.53%; Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit): 56.47%. For Yale Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.24, with an expected value of -2.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -8.52%E -5.26%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 15:54
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.97%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.57%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 20:00
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -10.22%E -6.43%K -17.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.