Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacred Heart Pioneers v Quinnipiac Bobcats

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacred Heart Pioneers (Local)

Prediction 91.89%1.09fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -4.26%
Kelly -110.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.44%91.89%91.64%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.041.041.0497.09%96.46%96.15%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Quinnipiac Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 8.11%12.33fair odd
EV +5.43%
Edge +0.418%
Kelly +0.452%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.41%8.11%8.36%8.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0011.8011.4013.009.09%8.47%8.77%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacred Heart Pioneers (Local): 91.89%; Quinnipiac Bobcats (Visit): 8.11%. For Quinnipiac Bobcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +5.43%E +0.418%K +0.452%G +0.025%3.8%2026-04-04 15:30
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -4.43%E -4.26%K -110.86%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV -7.55%E -0.662%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.35%E -5.20%K -178.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.79%E -0.981%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.