Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacred Heart Pioneers v Canisius Golden Griffins

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

90%

10%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacred Heart Pioneers (Local)

Prediction 89.78%1.11fair odd

EV -3.03%

Edge -2.81%

Kelly -37.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

88.11%89.78%90.58%90.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.041.051.041.0896.15%95.01%95.69%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Canisius Golden Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 10.22%9.79fair odd

EV +4.20%

Edge +0.412%

Kelly +0.457%

Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 10.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.33%10.22%9.42%11.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.009.059.0010.2012.50%11.05%11.11%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacred Heart Pioneers (Local): 89.78%; Canisius Golden Griffins (Visit): 10.22%. For Canisius Golden Griffins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -5.73%E -5.45%K -114.54%G +0.000%	10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +4.20%E +0.412%K +0.457%G +0.019%	5.0%	2026-03-18 20:04
BetMGM🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.62%E -6.37%K -165.62%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%	6.2%	2026-03-19 13:30
DraftKings🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.03%E -2.81%K -37.92%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-18 16:19
Fliff🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -6.62%E -6.37%K -165.62%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-03-20 17:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.