Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Robert Morris Colonials v Jacksonville Dolphins

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 23:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

11%

89%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Robert Morris Colonials (Local)

Prediction 11.20%8.93fair odd

EV +12.01%

Edge +1.20%

Kelly +1.33%

Growth +0.160%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.50%11.20%11.51%12.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.508.608.3010.0013.33%11.63%12.05%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 88.80%1.13fair odd

EV -4.10%

Edge -3.79%

Kelly -51.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.41%88.80%88.49%90.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.071.081.0895.24%93.46%92.59%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Robert Morris Colonials (Local): 11.20%; Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit): 88.80%. For Robert Morris Colonials (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +12.01%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.76%E -6.44%K -135.22%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-06 22:59
FanDuel🎯	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -7.03%E -0.847%K -0.963%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.10%E -3.79%K -51.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-06 23:00
BetMGM🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.99%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.10%E -3.79%K -51.22%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-06 22:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.