Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Quinnipiac Bobcats v Siena Saints

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

17%

83%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Quinnipiac Bobcats (Local)

Prediction 16.55%6.04fair odd

EV -4.86%

Edge -0.846%

Kelly -1.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.42%16.55%16.54%17.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.355.635.705.7518.69%17.78%17.54%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Siena Saints (Visit)

Prediction 83.45%1.20fair odd

EV -4.86%

Edge -4.26%

Kelly -34.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

82.95%83.45%83.46%83.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.101.131.131.1490.91%88.89%88.50%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Quinnipiac Bobcats (Local): 16.55%; Siena Saints (Visit): 83.45%. For Siena Saints (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.14, with an expected value of -4.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.86%E -0.846%K -1.02%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.70%E -5.04%K -43.82%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-05 15:50
FanDuel🎯	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.69%E -0.999%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.86%E -4.26%K -34.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-06 04:55
DraftKings🎯	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -5.69%E -0.999%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.70%E -5.04%K -43.82%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-04 22:05
Fliff🎯	5.35I 18.69%NM 17.05%EV -11.48%E -2.15%K -2.64%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 82.95%EV -8.20%E -7.45%K -82.00%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-07 17:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.