Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pennsylvania Quakers v Dartmouth Big Green

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pennsylvania Quakers (Local)

Prediction 71.26%1.40fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -8.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.18%71.26%71.43%72.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.321.311.3677.52%75.76%76.05%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dartmouth Big Green (Visit)

Prediction 28.74%3.48fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -0.957%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%28.74%28.57%29.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.263.253.4031.75%30.65%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pennsylvania Quakers (Local): 71.26%; Dartmouth Big Green (Visit): 28.74%. For Dartmouth Big Green (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 16:19
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.93%E -4.49%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 19:33
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.64%E -5.07%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.30%E -0.675%K -0.957%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 18:15
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -8.07%E -6.26%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.