Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marquette Golden Eagles v Detroit Mercy Titans

Kickoff: 2026-02-23 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

92%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marquette Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 92.21%1.08fair odd

EV -3.18%

Edge -3.03%

Kelly -63.68%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.61%92.21%91.64%93.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.031.021.0599.01%97.32%97.56%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Mercy Titans (Visit)

Prediction 7.79%12.83fair odd

EV +16.91%

Edge +1.13%

Kelly +1.21%

Growth +0.204%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.31%7.79%8.36%9.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.7511.7911.2015.0010.26%8.48%8.93%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marquette Golden Eagles (Local): 92.21%; Detroit Mercy Titans (Visit): 7.79%. For Detroit Mercy Titans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.87%E -6.80%K -687.21%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +16.91%E +1.13%K +1.21%G +0.204%	5.7%	2026-02-23 15:50
FanDuel🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -4.11%E -3.95%K -102.65%G +0.000%	11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV -11.15%E -0.978%K -1.07%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-23 16:49
DraftKings🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.18%E -3.03%K -63.68%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -14.26%E -1.30%K -1.43%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-23 16:40
Fliff🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 90.61%EV -6.87%E -6.80%K -687.21%G +0.000%	9.75I 10.26%NM 9.39%EV -24.01%E -2.46%K -2.74%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-02-23 16:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.