Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manhattan Jaspers v Marist Red Foxes

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

22%

78%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manhattan Jaspers (Local)

Prediction 21.51%4.65fair odd

EV +1.09%

Edge +0.232%

Kelly +0.295%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.20%21.51%22.16%22.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.254.404.254.7023.53%22.73%23.53%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marist Red Foxes (Visit)

Prediction 78.49%1.27fair odd

EV -5.03%

Edge -4.15%

Kelly -23.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.84%78.49%77.84%79.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.191.201.211.2184.03%83.10%82.64%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manhattan Jaspers (Local): 21.51%; Marist Red Foxes (Visit): 78.49%. For Manhattan Jaspers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +1.09%E +0.232%K +0.295%G +0.003%	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.60%E -5.54%K -34.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-11 06:59
DraftKings🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.59%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-09 15:04
BetMGM🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.59%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.03%E -4.15%K -23.93%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-09 20:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.