Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Mountain Hawks v Bucknell Bison

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Local)

Prediction 73.14%1.37fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -10.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.95%73.14%73.62%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.301.301.3278.13%76.92%76.92%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bucknell Bison (Visit)

Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%26.86%26.38%30.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.413.503.6032.79%29.30%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Local): 73.14%; Bucknell Bison (Visit): 26.86%. For Bucknell Bison (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -3.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.45%E -2.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 17:19
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -4.18%E -3.19%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -18.08%E -5.93%K -8.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.