Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Moyne Dolphins v LIU Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Moyne Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 20.07%4.98fair odd
EV +4.34%
Edge +0.834%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.37%20.07%20.91%21.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.634.505.2023.26%21.62%22.22%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LIU Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 79.93%1.25fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -4.10%
Kelly -25.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.75%79.93%79.09%81.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.181.181.1986.21%84.93%84.75%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Le Moyne Dolphins (Local): 20.07%; LIU Sharks (Visit): 79.93%. For Le Moyne Dolphins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +4.34%E +0.834%K +1.03%G +0.045%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:14
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.71%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.88%E -4.10%K -25.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 16:19
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.71%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.88%E -4.10%K -25.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 13:30
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -13.72%E -3.19%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -7.28%E -6.27%K -45.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.