Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders v Le Moyne Dolphins

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

82%

18%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders (Local)

Prediction 81.89%1.22fair odd

EV -5.01%

Edge -4.32%

Kelly -31.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.17%81.89%81.17%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.121.151.151.1689.29%87.34%86.96%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Le Moyne Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 18.11%5.52fair odd

EV +3.23%

Edge +0.566%

Kelly +0.686%

Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.67%18.11%18.83%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.955.165.005.7020.20%19.37%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holy Cross Crusaders (Local): 81.89%; Le Moyne Dolphins (Visit): 18.11%. For Le Moyne Dolphins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.46%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +3.23%E +0.566%K +0.686%G +0.022%	5.3%	2026-02-21 11:54
DraftKings🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.30%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-20 05:40
BetMGM🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.01%E -4.32%K -31.30%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.45%E -1.89%K -2.36%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-20 05:40
Fliff🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.55%EV -8.28%E -7.40%K -69.02%G +0.000%	4.95I 20.20%NM 18.45%EV -10.36%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-02-20 05:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.