Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders v Lafayette Leopards

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

28%

72%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders (Local)

Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd

EV +0.566%

Edge +0.157%

Kelly +0.218%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.38%27.93%26.93%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.323.303.6032.26%30.08%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lafayette Leopards (Visit)

Prediction 72.07%1.39fair odd

EV -1.99%

Edge -1.46%

Kelly -5.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.51%72.07%73.07%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.311.291.3677.52%76.34%77.22%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holy Cross Crusaders (Local): 27.93%; Lafayette Leopards (Visit): 72.07%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.566%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.566%E +0.157%K +0.218%G +0.001%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.04%E -5.45%K -24.26%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 05:28
DraftKings🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.891%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.04%E -5.45%K -24.26%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-14 14:50
BetMGM🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.99%E -1.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-12 13:40
Fliff🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.05%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-14 15:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.