Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

High Point Panthers v Virginia Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 22:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

95%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

High Point Panthers (Local)

Prediction 5.19%19.28fair odd

EV +3.75%

Edge +0.188%

Kelly +0.197%

Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 20.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

4.81%5.19%5.09%5.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

17.0018.6719.0020.005.88%5.36%5.26%5.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 94.81%1.05fair odd

EV -3.29%

Edge -3.23%

Kelly -164.56%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

94.34%94.81%94.91%95.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.021.021.0299.01%98.36%98.04%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: High Point Panthers (Local): 5.19%; Virginia Cavaliers (Visit): 94.81%. For High Point Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 19.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 20.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +3.75%E +0.188%K +0.197%G +0.007%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.24%E -4.20%K -423.94%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-03 21:59
DraftKings🎯	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -1.44%E -0.076%K -0.080%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.56%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-03 22:00
FanDuel🎯	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -11.81%E -0.695%K -0.738%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.29%E -3.23%K -164.56%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-03 21:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.