Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

High Point Panthers v Hobart Statesmen

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

77%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

High Point Panthers (Local)

Prediction 76.88%1.30fair odd

EV -2.36%

Edge -1.86%

Kelly -8.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

75.20%76.88%76.88%78.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.201.231.231.2783.33%80.97%80.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hobart Statesmen (Visit)

Prediction 23.12%4.33fair odd

EV +1.71%

Edge +0.389%

Kelly +0.504%

Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.43%23.12%23.12%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.854.134.134.4025.97%24.24%24.24%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: High Point Panthers (Local): 76.88%; Hobart Statesmen (Visit): 23.12%. For Hobart Statesmen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.70%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.71%E +0.389%K +0.504%G +0.009%	6.1%	2026-04-09 15:10
FanDuel🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.36%E -1.86%K -8.73%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -11.00%E -2.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-08 00:53

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.