Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dartmouth Big Green v Harvard Crimson

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

12%

88%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dartmouth Big Green (Local)

Prediction 12.26%8.15fair odd

EV +1.79%

Edge +0.215%

Kelly +0.245%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 8.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.51%12.26%12.59%12.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.507.777.508.3013.33%12.88%13.33%12.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Harvard Crimson (Visit)

Prediction 87.74%1.14fair odd

EV -4.37%

Edge -4.01%

Kelly -48.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.31%87.74%87.41%88.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.081.081.081.0992.59%92.31%92.59%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dartmouth Big Green (Local): 12.26%; Harvard Crimson (Visit): 87.74%. For Dartmouth Big Green (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV +1.79%E +0.215%K +0.245%G +0.004%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -5.24%E -4.86%K -65.56%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 22:49
DraftKings🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.02%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.37%E -4.01%K -48.52%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-16 17:19
BetMGM🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.02%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.24%E -4.86%K -65.56%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-19 12:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.