Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cornell Big Red v Duke Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cornell Big Red (Local)

Prediction 50.18%1.99fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.18%50.00%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.871.9554.64%53.10%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duke Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 49.82%2.01fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.82%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.901.871.9553.48%52.72%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cornell Big Red (Local): 50.18%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 49.82%. For Cornell Big Red (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -2.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.15%E -1.10%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.84%E -3.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 17:43
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.66%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 21:25
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.85%E -1.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.