Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cornell Big Red v Brown Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 17:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

87%

13%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cornell Big Red (Local)

Prediction 86.59%1.15fair odd

EV -3.02%

Edge -2.69%

Kelly -25.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.27%86.59%86.59%88.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.061.081.061.1294.34%92.59%94.34%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brown Bears (Visit)

Prediction 13.41%7.46fair odd

EV +13.98%

Edge +1.64%

Kelly +1.86%

Growth +0.260%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.09%13.41%13.41%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.007.126.858.5016.67%14.05%14.60%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cornell Big Red (Local): 86.59%; Brown Bears (Visit): 13.41%. For Brown Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.21%E -7.75%K -136.89%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +13.98%E +1.64%K +1.86%G +0.260%	6.1%	2026-03-14 16:15
Fliff🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -8.21%E -7.75%K -136.89%G +0.000%	6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -8.15%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-03-14 16:30
DraftKings🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.02%E -2.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -19.55%E -3.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-14 16:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.