Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colgate Raiders v Army Knights

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colgate Raiders (Local)

Prediction 19.35%5.17fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.323%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.66%19.35%18.83%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.905.005.1021.74%20.41%20.00%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Army Knights (Visit)

Prediction 80.65%1.24fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -21.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.45%80.65%81.17%81.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.171.171.1986.21%85.23%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colgate Raiders (Local): 19.35%; Army Knights (Visit): 80.65%. For Colgate Raiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.10, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.32%E -0.260%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:39
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 13:33
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.00%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.