Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brown Bears v Massachusetts Minutemen

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

62%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brown Bears (Local)

Prediction 62.01%1.61fair odd

EV -1.41%

Edge -0.887%

Kelly -2.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.95%62.01%62.34%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.471.511.501.5968.03%66.12%66.89%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit)

Prediction 37.99%2.63fair odd

EV -1.22%

Edge -0.468%

Kelly -0.760%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.27%37.99%37.66%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.382.472.452.6042.02%40.49%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brown Bears (Local): 62.01%; Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit): 37.99%. For Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -1.41%E -0.887%K -2.39%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -9.58%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-23 19:23
DraftKings🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-23 19:44
BetMGM🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.23%E -5.56%K -17.15%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.22%E -0.468%K -0.760%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-23 19:14
Fliff🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.85%E -6.02%K -18.83%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-02-23 19:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.