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Bellarmine Knights v Jacksonville Dolphins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bellarmine Knights (Local)
assuming max odds 14.00
Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.04
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bellarmine Knights (Local): 7.02%; Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit): 92.98%. For Bellarmine Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 14.00, with an expected value of -1.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -1.76%E -0.126%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.23%E -4.10%K -140.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -1.76%E -0.126%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.16%E -5.06%K -257.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -8.78%E -0.675%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.30%E -3.17%K -82.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 15:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.