The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Albany Great Danes v Siena Saints

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 23:32 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Albany Great Danes (Local)

Prediction 70.31%1.42fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -7.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.20%70.31%70.31%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.351.3875.76%74.07%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Siena Saints (Visit)

Prediction 29.69%3.37fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.616%
Kelly -0.883%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.69%29.69%30.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.203.203.3032.26%31.25%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albany Great Danes (Local): 70.31%; Siena Saints (Visit): 29.69%. For Siena Saints (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -2.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.97%E -2.15%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.97%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.19%E -5.45%K -22.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.03%E -0.616%K -0.883%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.