The School of Odds
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Timrå IK v Frölunda HC

Kickoff: 2026-10-08 17:00 UTC

Final: Timrå IK 4–1 Frölunda HC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Timrå IK (Local)

Prediction 25.04%3.99fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +0.649%
Kelly +0.859%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.32%25.72%25.04%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.823.904.1031.25%26.21%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Frölunda HC (Visit)

Prediction 53.71%1.86fair odd
EV +4.19%
Edge +2.16%
Kelly +4.46%
Growth +0.187%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.50%52.91%53.71%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.721.721.9463.29%58.00%58.14%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.26%4.70fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.96%21.37%21.26%22.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.324.354.5027.03%23.13%22.99%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Timrå IK (Local): 25.04%; Frölunda HC (Visit): 53.71%; Draw: 21.26%. For Frölunda HC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.19%.

14 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -16.12%E -4.81%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV +4.19%E +2.16%K +4.46%G +0.187%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.66%E +0.649%K +0.859%G +0.023%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-05 13:39
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.66%E +0.649%K +0.859%G +0.023%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-05 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.66%E +0.649%K +0.859%G +0.023%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-05 13:39
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.02%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%EV +2.66%E +0.649%K +0.859%G +0.023%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.95%EV -6.55%E -3.77%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 13:39
1xBet🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.36%EV -3.35%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.55%E -3.77%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -2.35%E -0.602%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -7.63%E -4.43%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 13:40
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV +0.158%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 13:39
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV +0.158%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 13:40
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV +0.158%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 13:39
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV +0.158%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -9.78%E -5.82%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-05 13:40
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -3.60%E -0.935%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -10.85%E -6.54%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-05 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -19.87%E -6.21%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 52.66%EV -15.15%E -9.59%K -26.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.34%EV -17.10%E -4.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-05 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 25.71%EV -19.87%E -6.21%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 52.06%EV -15.15%E -9.59%K -26.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.23%EV -21.36%E -5.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%21.6%2026-10-05 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (14)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
DraftKings🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%4.1%2026-10-05 03:08
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%5.5%2026-10-04 14:24
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%5.5%2026-10-04 14:19
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%5.8%2026-10-04 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%5.8%2026-10-04 08:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%5.8%2026-10-04 08:14
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%6.0%2026-10-05 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%7.8%2026-10-05 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%7.8%2026-10-04 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%7.8%2026-10-04 16:35
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%7.8%2026-10-04 16:34
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%7.8%2026-10-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 29.45%1.01I 99.01%NM 70.55%40.3%2026-10-05 04:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 29.45%1.01I 99.01%NM 70.55%40.3%2026-10-05 04:40