Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Växjö Lakers v Skellefteå AIK

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

34%

43%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Växjö Lakers (Local)

Prediction 34.15%2.93fair odd

EV +2.46%

Edge +0.821%

Kelly +1.23%

Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.40%34.32%34.15%35.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.812.803.0040.00%35.63%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Skellefteå AIK (Visit)

Prediction 42.52%2.35fair odd

EV -2.21%

Edge -0.959%

Kelly -1.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.78%42.39%42.52%45.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.002.142.122.3050.00%46.83%47.17%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.33%4.29fair odd

EV +0.303%

Edge +0.070%

Kelly +0.092%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.48%23.29%23.33%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.654.084.104.3027.40%24.53%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Växjö Lakers (Local): 34.15%; Skellefteå AIK (Visit): 42.52%; Draw: 23.33%. For Växjö Lakers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
ATG (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%EV +2.46%E +0.821%K +1.23%G +0.030%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.54%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%EV +0.303%E +0.070%K +0.092%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-03-05 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.40%EV +2.46%E +0.821%K +1.23%G +0.030%	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.00%EV -8.16%E -3.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV +0.303%E +0.070%K +0.092%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-03-05 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.40%EV +2.46%E +0.821%K +1.23%G +0.030%	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.00%EV -8.16%E -3.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV +0.303%E +0.070%K +0.092%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-03-05 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV +0.756%E +0.256%K +0.388%G +0.003%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%EV -9.86%E -4.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%EV -0.864%E -0.203%K -0.266%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-05 16:25
Unibet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.951%E -0.328%K -0.501%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -10.71%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.03%E -0.483%K -0.634%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-05 16:30
Grosvenor🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.951%E -0.328%K -0.501%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -10.71%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.03%E -0.483%K -0.634%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-05 16:24
Casumo🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.951%E -0.328%K -0.501%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -10.71%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.03%E -0.483%K -0.634%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-05 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.951%E -0.328%K -0.501%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -10.71%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.03%E -0.483%K -0.634%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-05 16:25
LeoVegas🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -2.66%E -0.933%K -1.44%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-05 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.84%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
TABtouch🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -14.11%E -6.99%K -13.83%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-05 16:24
Betway🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-02 19:19
Coolbet🎯	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.78%EV -2.21%E -0.959%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.20%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-04 11:55
1xBet🎯	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -5.18%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-05 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.19%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.39%EV -6.03%E -2.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-05 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.71%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.70%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-03-05 17:45
Everygame🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.02%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.93%EV -8.58%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-03-05 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -12.91%E -5.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.27%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.22%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 23.74%EV -14.86%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000%	15.4%	2026-03-05 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -14.61%E -5.85%K -9.74%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.96%E -7.48%K -14.96%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -12.53%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%	16.7%	2026-03-05 17:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%	1.4%	2026-03-05 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%	1.4%	2026-03-05 17:50
Kalshi◎	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%	1.9%	2026-03-05 17:05
theScore Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%	4.1%	2026-03-05 17:45
DraftKings🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%	4.1%	2026-03-05 16:59
Pinnacle🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%	4.7%	2026-03-05 17:05
Bovada🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%	5.0%	2026-03-05 17:47
NordicBet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%	5.2%	2026-03-05 16:55
Betsson🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%	5.2%	2026-03-05 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%	5.4%	2026-02-28 23:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%	5.4%	2026-02-28 23:44
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%	5.4%	2026-02-28 23:49
Smarkets◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%	7.2%	2026-03-05 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%	7.5%	2026-02-28 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%	7.5%	2026-03-05 08:24
Coral🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%	7.5%	2026-03-05 08:24