The School of Odds
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Växjö Lakers v Rögle BK

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 17:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Växjö Lakers (Local)

Prediction 32.08%3.12fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.42%32.65%32.08%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.842.853.0437.74%35.27%35.09%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rögle BK (Visit)

Prediction 44.47%2.25fair odd
EV +3.62%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +2.72%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.28%43.78%44.47%45.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.102.112.3351.02%47.64%47.39%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.45%4.26fair odd
EV -0.343%
Edge -0.081%
Kelly -0.106%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.32%23.57%23.45%24.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.034.074.2528.17%24.80%24.54%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Växjö Lakers (Local): 32.08%; Rögle BK (Visit): 44.47%; Draw: 23.45%. For Rögle BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.62%.

14 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.97%EV -11.78%E -4.28%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.28%EV +3.62%E +1.55%K +2.72%G +0.098%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 16:59
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.62%EV -2.80%E -0.923%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.94%EV -3.05%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.44%EV -8.08%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42%EV -2.48%E -0.815%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.22%EV -3.94%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.36%EV -8.08%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.99%EV -6.97%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -0.343%E -0.081%K -0.106%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 16:59
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.38%E -4.96%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -6.97%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -0.343%E -0.081%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.94%EV -7.61%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -0.343%E -0.081%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.94%EV -7.61%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -0.343%E -0.081%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.94%EV -7.61%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -0.343%E -0.081%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:00
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.08%EV -8.57%E -3.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:59
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.57%E -3.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 17:00
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.57%E -3.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -1.52%E -0.361%K -0.474%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.97%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.82%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -10.18%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.56%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -3.86%E -0.942%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -10.18%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.68%EV -8.39%E -4.07%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -3.86%E -0.942%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 17:00
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.57%E -3.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.18%E -3.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -11.06%E -5.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.21%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -13.38%E -4.96%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.50%EV -11.06%E -5.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -7.38%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.56%EV -14.99%E -5.66%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.14%EV -11.06%E -5.53%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.30%EV -16.76%E -4.72%K -6.57%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-10 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.97%EV -13.38%E -4.96%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.05%EV -12.84%E -6.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-10 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (14)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%3.2%2026-04-10 17:00
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%3.6%2026-04-10 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%4.1%2026-04-10 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%4.2%2026-04-10 16:59
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%4.7%2026-04-10 16:59
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%4.7%2026-04-10 16:59
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%4.9%2026-04-10 16:59
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-04-10 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-04-10 16:59
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-04-10 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-04-10 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%8.1%2026-04-10 17:00
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%9.2%2026-04-10 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-10 17:00