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Växjö Lakers v Rögle BK

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 17:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Växjö Lakers (Local)

Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.83%46.79%46.75%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.992.002.0853.19%50.25%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rögle BK (Visit)

Prediction 53.09%1.88fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%53.21%53.25%54.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.781.9257.80%56.01%56.18%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Växjö Lakers (Local): 46.91%; Rögle BK (Visit): 53.09%. For Rögle BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -11.82%E -6.29%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +1.94%E +1.01%K +2.11%G +0.041%5.3%2026-04-08 16:54
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.37%E -1.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 10:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 09:10
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.31%E -2.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 16:10
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.44%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.55%E -3.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 09:30
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 09:29
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 09:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-08 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%5.8%2026-04-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%7.2%2026-04-08 16:55
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%8.2%2026-04-08 09:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-04-08 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-04-08 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-04-08 16:05
Coolbet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.07%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%4.2%2026-04-08 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%4.3%2026-04-08 11:00
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.34%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.19%4.4%2026-04-08 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.34%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.68%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.98%4.8%2026-04-08 16:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%4.8%2026-04-08 09:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%5.5%2026-04-08 09:30
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-04-08 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-04-08 10:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-04-08 11:00
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-04-08 11:00
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%8.5%2026-04-08 16:04
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%10.2%2026-04-08 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%10.3%2026-04-08 09:30
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%11.0%2026-04-08 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%12.2%2026-04-08 10:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%14.3%2026-04-08 09:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.11%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%15.8%2026-04-08 09:30