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Växjö Lakers v Örebro HK

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Växjö Lakers (Local)

Prediction 59.12%1.69fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.42%59.15%58.82%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.591.611.6364.52%62.86%62.11%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro HK (Visit)

Prediction 40.88%2.45fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%40.85%41.18%41.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.312.302.4044.44%43.28%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Växjö Lakers (Local): 59.12%; Örebro HK (Visit): 40.88%. For Örebro HK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.64%E -2.23%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.38%E -2.78%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 16:50
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:48
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.82%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.88%E -0.782%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 16:44
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.82%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.82%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.82%E -3.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.88%E -0.782%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.19%E -4.58%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.37%E -5.40%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:44
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.37%E -5.40%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:44
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.37%E -5.40%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.37%E -5.40%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-03-07 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%3.7%2026-03-07 16:54
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-03-07 16:45
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 48.75%1.56I 64.10%NM 51.25%25.1%2026-03-07 16:54

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%2.2%2026-03-07 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-07 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-07 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-03-07 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%4.9%2026-03-07 16:44
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-03-07 16:44
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%6.0%2026-03-07 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%6.0%2026-03-07 16:40
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%6.0%2026-03-07 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%6.0%2026-03-07 16:39
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%6.3%2026-03-07 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%6.7%2026-03-07 16:54
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%8.6%2026-03-07 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%9.9%2026-03-07 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%10.4%2026-03-07 16:44
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%10.6%2026-03-07 16:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.43%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%15.2%2026-03-07 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.89%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.39%16.0%2026-03-07 16:44