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Växjö Lakers v Malmö Redhawks

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 14:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Växjö Lakers (Local)

Prediction 49.89%2.00fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.01%49.94%49.89%51.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.841.841.9458.82%54.27%54.35%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Malmö Redhawks (Visit)

Prediction 27.97%3.58fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -0.843%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.22%27.93%27.97%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.353.403.5034.48%29.87%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.14%4.52fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.400%
Kelly +0.511%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%22.13%22.14%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.314.354.6026.67%23.23%22.99%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Växjö Lakers (Local): 49.89%; Malmö Redhawks (Visit): 27.97%; Draw: 22.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.84%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.26%EV -5.70%E -3.02%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -2.11%E -0.602%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%EV +1.84%E +0.400%K +0.511%G +0.009%3.2%2026-02-20 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.26%EV -5.70%E -3.02%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -2.11%E -0.602%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%EV +1.84%E +0.400%K +0.511%G +0.009%3.2%2026-02-20 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.26%EV -5.70%E -3.02%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -2.11%E -0.602%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%EV +1.84%E +0.400%K +0.511%G +0.009%3.2%2026-02-21 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.51%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -0.375%E -0.083%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 00:00
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.28%EV -8.20%E -4.46%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -0.375%E -0.083%K -0.107%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -8.70%E -4.75%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -0.375%E -0.083%K -0.107%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -8.70%E -4.75%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -0.375%E -0.083%K -0.107%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-20 23:59
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -8.70%E -4.75%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -0.375%E -0.083%K -0.107%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-20 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.59%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -3.70%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 12:55
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.66%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -3.70%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.19%EV -5.21%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -3.51%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-20 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -11.19%E -6.29%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 00:00
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.91%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.68%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.26%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.91%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:10
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.36%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.22%EV -3.23%E -0.932%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.46%EV -9.20%E -5.05%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -11.90%E -3.78%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -8.70%E -4.75%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 14:08
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.01%EV -12.19%E -6.93%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.28%EV -14.69%E -4.82%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-21 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.03%EV -15.18%E -8.93%K -21.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.74%EV -18.89%E -6.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.23%EV -16.98%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-20 05:41
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%4.1%2026-02-21 08:30
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%4.2%2026-02-21 13:57
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%4.5%2026-02-20 05:40
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%4.8%2026-02-21 08:45
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%4.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%5.2%2026-02-21 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%5.2%2026-02-21 14:05
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-02-20 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-02-20 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-02-20 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-02-20 05:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%6.9%2026-02-21 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%7.4%2026-02-20 12:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%7.4%2026-02-20 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%7.6%2026-02-20 12:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%7.6%2026-02-20 12:56
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%8.2%2026-02-21 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 61.05%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.95%10.7%2026-02-21 13:50