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Växjö Lakers v Malmö Redhawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Växjö Lakers 4–3 Malmö Redhawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Växjö Lakers (Local)

Prediction 62.31%1.60fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.43%62.37%62.25%63.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.511.521.5767.57%66.08%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Malmö Redhawks (Visit)

Prediction 37.69%2.65fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.629%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.50%37.63%37.75%38.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.502.502.6140.82%39.93%40.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Växjö Lakers (Local): 62.31%; Malmö Redhawks (Visit): 37.69%. For Malmö Redhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.61, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.17%E -1.38%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.79%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-22 11:29
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.04%E -2.62%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 16:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.79%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.79%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.79%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 17:25
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.28%E -3.48%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 20:43
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.28%E -3.48%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.90%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 11:29
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.53%E -4.35%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.64%E -0.629%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 11:29
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 09:04
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 09:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -7.67%E -3.13%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 09:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%3.8%2026-09-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%6.0%2026-09-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%6.0%2026-09-22 16:55
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%7.5%2026-09-22 16:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.98%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%2.3%2026-09-22 15:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%3.2%2026-09-21 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%3.2%2026-09-21 20:39
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%3.9%2026-09-22 16:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%4.5%2026-09-20 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%4.6%2026-09-21 20:39
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%5.9%2026-09-22 08:29
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%5.9%2026-09-22 08:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%5.9%2026-09-22 08:29
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%5.9%2026-09-22 08:29
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%6.3%2026-09-22 16:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.75%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%6.8%2026-09-22 16:33
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%10.1%2026-09-22 08:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%11.2%2026-09-20 09:02
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%12.5%2026-09-22 08:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%17.0%2026-09-22 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.03%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.23%20.0%2026-09-20 09:04