The School of Odds
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Växjö Lakers v Luleå HF

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Växjö Lakers 2–1 Luleå HF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Växjö Lakers (Local)

Prediction 56.81%1.76fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.15%56.73%56.85%57.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7461.73%60.01%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luleå HF (Visit)

Prediction 43.19%2.32fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.478%
Kelly -0.849%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.03%43.27%43.15%44.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.192.192.2946.73%45.74%45.66%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Växjö Lakers (Local): 56.81%; Luleå HF (Visit): 43.19%. For Luleå HF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.29, with an expected value of -1.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.15%E -0.661%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -7.57%E -3.54%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 11:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 11:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 11:39
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 11:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 12:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.13%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 19:50
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.10%E -0.478%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 11:05
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 11:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.98%E -2.26%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-22 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-10-22 16:50
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-10-22 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%6.2%2026-10-22 16:55
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%9.3%2026-10-22 16:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-10-22 15:32
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-10-22 15:33
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.2%2026-10-22 15:32
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-10-22 15:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%6.0%2026-10-22 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%6.0%2026-10-22 12:21
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-10-22 15:25
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-10-22 15:32
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-10-22 15:32
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-10-22 15:32
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%6.3%2026-10-22 11:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-10-22 11:34
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.28%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%10.2%2026-10-22 15:33
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%11.0%2026-10-22 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.73%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%15.3%2026-10-22 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 44.25%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.73%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%18.9%2026-10-22 16:49