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Växjö Lakers v HV71

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC

Final: Växjö Lakers 7–5 HV71

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Växjö Lakers (Local)

Prediction 66.87%1.50fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.36%67.14%66.74%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.421.4773.53%70.38%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HV71 (Visit)

Prediction 33.13%3.02fair odd
EV +2.69%
Edge +0.869%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%32.86%33.26%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.853.1038.46%35.81%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Växjö Lakers (Local): 66.87%; HV71 (Visit): 33.13%. For HV71 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.69%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.05%E -6.66%K -25.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.69%E +0.869%K +1.28%G +0.035%5.8%2026-09-26 15:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.38%E -4.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.93%E -1.36%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.38%E -4.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.93%E -1.36%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.38%E -4.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.93%E -1.36%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.70%E -2.57%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.59%E -1.96%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.04%E -3.55%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.59%E -1.96%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 14:25
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.04%E -3.55%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.59%E -1.96%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -1.70%E -1.15%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -7.25%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.38%E -4.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.90%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -3.70%E -2.57%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -13.87%E -5.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 07:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -3.70%E -2.57%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -13.87%E -5.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 07:04
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -3.70%E -2.57%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -13.87%E -5.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 07:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -3.70%E -2.57%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -13.87%E -5.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 07:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%5.9%2026-09-26 15:55
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 65.53%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%8.2%2026-09-26 14:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%2.3%2026-09-26 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-09-26 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-09-26 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%4.1%2026-09-26 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.7%2026-09-26 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-09-26 14:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-09-26 14:00
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.30%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.68%6.3%2026-09-26 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%6.3%2026-09-26 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%6.3%2026-09-26 15:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%6.3%2026-09-26 15:35
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%6.3%2026-09-26 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.62%6.6%2026-09-26 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%9.5%2026-09-26 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%10.5%2026-09-26 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%13.1%2026-09-26 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%15.9%2026-09-26 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.19%17.0%2026-09-26 15:49