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Timrå IK v Växjö Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 14:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Timrå IK (Local)

Prediction 48.90%2.05fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.05%48.86%48.90%51.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.871.861.9956.50%53.49%53.76%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Växjö Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 28.68%3.49fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.433%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%28.68%28.68%29.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.293.323.4533.90%30.44%30.12%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.43%4.46fair odd
EV +6.52%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.31%22.45%22.43%23.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.364.404.7526.67%22.92%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Timrå IK (Local): 48.90%; Växjö Lakers (Visit): 28.68%; Draw: 22.43%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.52%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.00%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%EV -1.06%E -0.308%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.62%EV +6.52%E +1.37%K +1.74%G +0.113%2.1%2026-03-14 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -1.06%E -0.308%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%EV +6.52%E +1.37%K +1.74%G +0.113%3.2%2026-03-14 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -1.06%E -0.308%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%EV +6.52%E +1.37%K +1.74%G +0.113%3.2%2026-03-14 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.61%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -2.50%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV +5.40%E +1.15%K +1.46%G +0.079%4.7%2026-03-14 13:30
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +3.16%E +0.686%K +0.877%G +0.028%6.2%2026-03-14 13:30
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +3.16%E +0.686%K +0.877%G +0.028%6.2%2026-03-14 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +3.16%E +0.686%K +0.877%G +0.028%6.2%2026-03-14 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +3.16%E +0.686%K +0.877%G +0.028%6.2%2026-03-14 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -12.47%E -6.97%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV +0.915%E +0.203%K +0.261%G +0.002%8.9%2026-03-14 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.36%EV -13.45%E -7.60%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -1.33%E -0.302%K -0.391%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 13:34
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.41%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.19%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -3.57%E -0.830%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 13:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.79%EV -4.65%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -4.69%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -4.65%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -5.81%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 13:50
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -5.81%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.39%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.27%EV -4.79%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.81%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.69%EV -9.05%E -4.87%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -8.06%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.13%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.37%EV -15.40%E -5.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.50%EV -13.66%E -3.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.04%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -12.53%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -14.78%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 13:49
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -15.90%E -4.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-03-14 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-03-14 14:05
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%3.7%2026-03-14 13:49
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%4.2%2026-03-14 13:30
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%5.0%2026-03-14 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%5.3%2026-03-14 13:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%5.3%2026-03-14 13:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-03-14 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-03-14 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-03-14 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%7.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%8.0%2026-03-14 13:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-14 13:30
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%8.8%2026-03-14 13:30
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 42.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 57.31%22.0%2026-03-14 12:05