The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Timrå IK v Örebro HK

2026-09-22 17:00 UTC — SHL

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Timrå IK (Local)

Prediction 50.48%1.98fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.978%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.40%49.98%50.53%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.902.0254.64%52.63%52.77%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro HK (Visit)

Prediction 49.52%2.02fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.02%49.47%52.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.901.911.9354.95%52.53%52.36%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Timrå IK (Local): 50.48%; Örebro HK (Visit): 49.52%. For Timrå IK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.02, producing a positive expected value of +1.98%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.98%E +0.978%K +1.94%G +0.038%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.88%E -5.43%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 20:34
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:39
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.93%E -2.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 20:30
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.93%E -2.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 20:29
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -4.43%E -2.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 20:30
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 20:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%9.9%2026-09-19 20:40
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 50.00%1.06I 94.34%NM 50.00%88.7%2026-09-20 00:19

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-09-19 19:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-09-19 19:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-09-19 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.60%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%4.5%2026-09-19 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%5.8%2026-09-19 20:39
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-09-19 19:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-09-19 19:34
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-09-19 19:34
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-09-19 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.5%2026-09-19 22:13
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.5%2026-09-19 22:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-09-19 20:39
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%9.9%2026-09-19 19:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%11.7%2026-09-19 20:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.30%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%12.6%2026-09-19 19:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.37%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.52%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.12%18.5%2026-09-19 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.72%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.45%20.1%2026-09-19 20:39