The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Timrå IK v IF Björklöven

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 17:13 UTC

Final: Timrå IK 3–0 IF Björklöven

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Timrå IK (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -56.82%
Kelly -131.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%0.00%0.00%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.701.681.7661.35%58.90%59.52%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Björklöven (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -22.99%
Kelly -29.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.21%0.00%0.00%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.244.204.3524.39%23.56%23.81%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -22.73%
Kelly -29.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.73%0.00%0.00%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.334.304.4023.81%23.11%23.26%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Timrå IK (Local): 0.00%; IF Björklöven (Visit): 0.00%; Draw: 0.00%.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.17%2.5%2026-10-17 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.84%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-10-17 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.84%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%3.5%2026-10-17 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%5.0%2026-10-17 15:55
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-10-17 15:55
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-10-17 15:54
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-10-17 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-10-17 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%9.5%2026-10-17 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.15I 86.96%NM 51.48%1.22I 81.97%NM 48.52%68.9%2026-10-17 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 53.02%1.14I 87.72%NM 46.98%86.7%2026-10-17 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 53.02%1.14I 87.72%NM 46.98%86.7%2026-10-17 16:45