The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Timrå IK v HV71

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 14:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Timrå IK (Local)

Prediction 66.20%1.51fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -7.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.36%66.39%66.04%67.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.4671.43%69.62%69.44%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HV71 (Visit)

Prediction 33.80%2.96fair odd
EV -0.614%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.316%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.26%33.61%33.96%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9438.46%36.42%36.36%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Timrå IK (Local): 66.20%; HV71 (Visit): 33.80%. For HV71 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.94, with an expected value of -0.614%; they did not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.35%E -2.30%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 11:00
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.02%E -2.77%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 11:28
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.68%E -3.25%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.97%E -0.678%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.68%E -3.25%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:00
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.68%E -3.25%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.68%E -3.25%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.68%E -3.25%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.68%E -3.25%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 13:40
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.68%E -3.25%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.68%E -3.25%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 15:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.68%E -3.25%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.68%E -3.25%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -0.614%E -0.209%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.33%E -5.23%K -18.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%5.0%2026-02-28 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%5.9%2026-02-28 14:10
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 64.85%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%8.6%2026-02-28 14:05
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%9.0%2026-02-28 14:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%3.1%2026-02-28 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%3.1%2026-02-28 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%3.1%2026-02-28 13:05
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%4.2%2026-02-28 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%4.3%2026-02-28 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-02-28 11:30
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-02-28 13:05
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-02-28 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-02-28 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-02-28 13:05
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%6.1%2026-02-28 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%6.5%2026-02-28 11:29
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%7.4%2026-02-28 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%9.0%2026-02-28 13:05
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%9.9%2026-02-28 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%10.7%2026-02-28 11:30
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%11.0%2026-02-28 11:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%15.3%2026-02-28 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.11%15.5%2026-02-28 11:30