The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Timrå IK v Brynäs IF

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Timrå IK (Local)

Prediction 36.44%2.74fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -0.950%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.99%36.47%36.44%36.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.572.602.7044.44%38.93%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brynäs IF (Visit)

Prediction 40.13%2.49fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.56%40.21%40.13%40.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.39%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.43%4.27fair odd
EV -0.422%
Edge -0.099%
Kelly -0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.63%23.32%23.43%24.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.014.054.2528.17%24.95%24.69%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Timrå IK (Local): 36.44%; Brynäs IF (Visit): 40.13%; Draw: 23.43%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -0.422%; they did not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.35%EV -2.48%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%EV -1.59%E -0.380%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-05 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.85%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%EV -1.59%E -0.380%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%EV -1.62%E -0.598%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.85%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%EV -1.59%E -0.380%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.44%EV -3.80%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.63%EV -0.422%E -0.099%K -0.130%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 16:20
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-02 19:04
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 16:10
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 16:10
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.38%EV -5.99%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45%EV -6.90%E -2.97%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -5.11%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 16:10
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.38%EV -5.99%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45%EV -6.90%E -2.97%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -5.11%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 16:15
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 16:09
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.71%EV -10.51%E -4.71%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 16:10
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-03 14:11
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80%EV -10.73%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.70%E -4.31%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.26%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -11.71%E -5.32%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-05 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.97%EV -18.01%E -8.01%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.61%EV -15.72%E -7.49%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.43%EV -16.82%E -4.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-02 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%4.5%2026-03-05 04:20
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-03-05 13:09
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-03-05 17:47
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-03-05 13:10
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%5.5%2026-03-05 07:05
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%5.5%2026-03-05 07:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-01 00:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-01 00:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-01 00:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-03-02 19:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-03-02 19:54
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-03-02 19:54
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%8.5%2026-03-05 07:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%8.6%2026-03-05 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%8.6%2026-03-05 17:55
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 48.18%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.82%12.2%2026-03-05 16:50