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Skellefteå AIK v Rögle BK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Skellefteå AIK (Local)
Prediction 55.85%1.79fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.77%56.05%55.85%57.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.681.7663.69%59.79%59.52%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rögle BK (Visit)
Prediction 22.38%4.47fair odd
EV +0.702%
Edge +0.156%
Kelly +0.201%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.25%22.14%22.38%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.154.204.5027.78%24.11%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.77%4.59fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -0.581%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.41%21.81%21.77%23.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.294.354.5026.67%23.34%22.99%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Skellefteå AIK (Local): 55.85%; Rögle BK (Visit): 22.38%; Draw: 21.77%. For Rögle BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.702%.
17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV +0.702%E +0.156%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.49%EV -3.12%E -0.701%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.75%EV -5.61%E -3.32%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.70%EV -1.09%E -0.246%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.55%EV -3.12%E -0.701%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.69%EV -1.70%E -0.967%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%EV -2.65%E -0.610%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV -2.03%E -0.452%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 11:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -3.38%E -1.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -2.65%E -0.610%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV -2.03%E -0.452%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -3.38%E -1.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -2.65%E -0.610%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV -2.03%E -0.452%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.97%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -3.77%E -0.878%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.64%EV -3.12%E -0.701%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98%EV -5.05%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -4.89%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.21%E -0.957%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 11:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -4.49%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -4.89%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.55%EV -4.49%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.14%EV -8.40%E -5.12%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.25%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -6.39%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -9.52%E -5.88%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -8.25%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -7.47%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 11:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -12.31%E -7.84%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -10.49%E -2.62%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -10.74%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-02 11:46 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.72%E -3.26%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -15.09%E -3.87%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 12:36 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.05%EV -8.40%E -5.12%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -13.84%E -3.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.56%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 53.77%EV -11.20%E -7.04%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -18.32%E -5.02%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -18.36%E -4.90%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.38%EV -11.76%E -7.44%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -19.44%E -5.40%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.75%EV -14.01%E -3.55%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 2.3% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 04:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 11:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 08:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |