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Skellefteå AIK v Malmö Redhawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Skellefteå AIK (Local)
Prediction 60.35%1.66fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.35%60.40%60.35%61.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.541.6068.03%64.78%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Malmö Redhawks (Visit)
Prediction 19.70%5.08fair odd
EV +0.453%
Edge +0.089%
Kelly +0.110%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.76%19.65%19.70%21.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.814.905.1024.39%20.79%20.41%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.95%5.01fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.577%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.53%19.96%19.95%21.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.654.704.9024.10%21.52%21.28%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Skellefteå AIK (Local): 60.35%; Malmö Redhawks (Visit): 19.70%; Draw: 19.95%. For Malmö Redhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.08. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.453%.
17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.16%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -4.25%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.16%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -4.25%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.16%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -4.25%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -5.24%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.24%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.24%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.24%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.24%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.11%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.43%EV -2.50%E -0.505%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.46%EV -6.24%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%EV -3.49%E -0.712%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%EV -2.25%E -0.460%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.49%E -0.712%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.24%E -1.79%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.18%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -5.24%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 08:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.92%EV -10.07%E -6.76%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -10.23%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-23 12:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.37%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.04%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.59%EV -2.25%E -0.460%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.36%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.24%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 08:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -16.22%E -3.86%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-23 08:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -15.30%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -8.24%E -1.79%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-23 08:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.35%EV -10.07%E -6.76%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -17.27%E -4.11%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.95%EV -17.21%E -4.15%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-23 08:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.81%EV -11.28%E -7.67%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.09%EV -19.24%E -4.69%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -14.22%E -3.31%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-23 08:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18% | 3.8% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 05:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 12:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 12:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 12:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89% | 8.2% | 2026-03-23 08:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21% | 8.5% | 2026-03-23 08:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |