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Skellefteå AIK v Malmö Redhawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Skellefteå AIK (Local)
Prediction 65.00%1.54fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.96%65.14%65.00%67.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.421.411.5074.07%70.61%70.92%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Malmö Redhawks (Visit)
Prediction 16.45%6.08fair odd
EV +2.80%
Edge +0.449%
Kelly +0.534%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.11%16.40%16.45%18.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.816.006.2522.22%17.23%16.67%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.55%5.39fair odd
EV +3.87%
Edge +0.691%
Kelly +0.841%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.94%18.46%18.55%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.235.355.6023.26%19.13%18.69%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Skellefteå AIK (Local): 65.00%; Malmö Redhawks (Visit): 16.45%; Draw: 18.55%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.39. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.87%.
16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.77%EV -4.45%E -3.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%EV +2.80%E +0.449%K +0.534%G +0.015% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%EV +3.87%E +0.691%K +0.841%G +0.033% | 1.9% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.38%EV -7.05%E -4.93%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.42%EV +2.80%E +0.449%K +0.534%G +0.015% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.21%EV +3.87%E +0.691%K +0.841%G +0.033% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.38%EV -7.05%E -4.93%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.42%EV +2.80%E +0.449%K +0.534%G +0.015% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.21%EV +3.87%E +0.691%K +0.841%G +0.033% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -7.70%E -5.42%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.66%EV +0.336%E +0.055%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06%EV +3.87%E +0.691%K +0.841%G +0.033% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -9.00%E -6.43%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -1.31%E -0.218%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -9.00%E -6.43%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -1.31%E -0.218%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -9.00%E -6.43%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -1.31%E -0.218%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -9.00%E -6.43%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -1.31%E -0.218%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV +2.02%E +0.367%K +0.448%G +0.009% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.28%EV -11.60%E -8.53%K -32.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -4.60%E -0.793%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV +0.161%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.11%EV -5.75%E -3.96%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -1.31%E -0.218%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.92%EV -0.766%E -0.143%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.35%EV -6.40%E -4.44%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.79%EV -0.486%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.86%EV -0.766%E -0.143%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 02:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.23%EV -12.25%E -9.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV -4.60%E -0.793%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.12%EV -1.69%E -0.320%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -4.45%E -3.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -5.42%E -0.943%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.38%EV -3.55%E -0.682%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 11:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.21%EV -2.50%E -1.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.90%EV -6.24%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -5.40%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 11:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.40%E -4.44%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -5.42%E -0.943%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.26%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 01:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.93%EV -8.35%E -5.92%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -16.11%E -3.16%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -9.11%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-24 11:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.00%E -6.43%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -1.31%E -0.218%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-24 11:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.02%EV -9.65%E -6.94%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -17.76%E -3.55%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -16.53%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-25 06:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 61.96%EV -12.25%E -9.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.59%EV -25.98%E -5.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.45%EV -20.24%E -4.71%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-24 11:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 01:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 01:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.35% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.65% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04% | 8.2% | 2026-03-25 06:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 12:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55% | 8.6% | 2026-03-24 14:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 72.63% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 27.37% | 36.3% | 2026-03-25 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 72.63% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 27.37% | 36.3% | 2026-03-25 11:50 |