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Skellefteå AIK v Luleå HF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Skellefteå AIK (Local)
assuming max odds 1.50
Luleå HF (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Skellefteå AIK (Local): 65.00%; Luleå HF (Visit): 35.00%. For Luleå HF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.01%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -12.26%E -9.08%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +5.01%E +1.67%K +2.51%G +0.126% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 08:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -12.26%E -9.08%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +5.01%E +1.67%K +2.51%G +0.126% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 08:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.51%E +0.522%K +0.797%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.51%E +0.522%K +0.797%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.51%E +0.522%K +0.797%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 20:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -12.26%E -9.08%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +1.51%E +0.522%K +0.797%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -12.26%E -9.08%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +1.51%E +0.522%K +0.797%G +0.012% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.51%E -1.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.81%E -2.57%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.99%E -3.46%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.6% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.59% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.14% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.95% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.99% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 16:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 17:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43% | 9.8% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43% | 11.5% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26% | 11.7% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69% | 12.4% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.66% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87% | 15.1% | 2026-04-09 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.43% | 15.8% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |