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Skellefteå AIK v Linköping HC

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Skellefteå AIK (Local)

Prediction 69.84%1.43fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -9.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.85%70.04%69.51%71.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.361.3876.92%74.18%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linköping HC (Visit)

Prediction 30.16%3.32fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.489%
Kelly +0.695%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.14%29.96%30.49%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.163.103.3732.79%31.63%32.26%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Skellefteå AIK (Local): 69.84%; Linköping HC (Visit): 30.16%. For Linköping HC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.42%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV +1.65%E +0.489%K +0.695%G +0.011%5.4%2026-03-12 12:15
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.97%E -0.607%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.21%E -7.09%K -30.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.97%E -0.607%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 13:45
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.21%E -7.09%K -30.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.97%E -0.607%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 13:45
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 12:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 12:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 12:15
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 12:15
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.62%E -2.63%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:35
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.62%E -2.63%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%4.9%2026-03-12 17:45
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 28.37%1.20I 83.33%NM 71.63%16.3%2026-03-12 17:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.68%3.7%2026-03-12 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.68%3.7%2026-03-12 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.68%3.7%2026-03-12 14:05
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%4.2%2026-03-12 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%4.5%2026-03-12 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%4.6%2026-03-12 12:15
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98%5.4%2026-03-12 12:15
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.35%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%6.2%2026-03-12 12:15
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%6.6%2026-03-12 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%6.6%2026-03-12 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%6.6%2026-03-12 14:05
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%6.6%2026-03-12 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%6.6%2026-03-12 12:14
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%8.8%2026-03-12 14:05
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.83%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%10.0%2026-03-12 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%10.1%2026-03-12 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%10.5%2026-03-12 12:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.93%15.2%2026-03-12 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.16%15.4%2026-03-12 12:15