La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.07
20 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.78%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.46%E -2.42%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.78%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.78%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.78%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74%EV -2.85%E -0.954%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74%EV -2.85%E -0.954%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -0.253%E -0.082%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.19%E -6.02%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.43%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.86%E -6.57%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.78%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.86%E -6.57%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.78%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.86%E -6.57%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.78%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.86%E -6.57%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.78%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.02% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.98% | 16.0% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.06% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.06% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.06% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.91% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 12:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.80% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.74% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 13:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 13:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94% | 14.7% | 2026-04-12 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.56% | 15.1% | 2026-04-12 13:05 |